{"id":39411,"date":"2023-09-30T14:21:00","date_gmt":"2023-09-30T13:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/?post_type=projects&#038;p=39411"},"modified":"2026-04-09T08:12:54","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T07:12:54","slug":"peak-ev-charging-demand-study-for-the-climate-change-committee","status":"publish","type":"projects","link":"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/project\/peak-ev-charging-demand-study-for-the-climate-change-committee\/","title":{"rendered":"Peak EV Charging demand study for the Climate Change Committee"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\"><div class=\"content-top-project\">\n    <div class=\"content-top-details\">\n        <svg class=\"icon-sprite details-logo\"><use xlink:href=\"#icon_deco_systra_blanc\" \/>\n        <div class=\"title\">Technical details<\/div>\n        \t        <div class=\"single-content\">\n\t            <div class=\"subtitle\">Customer<\/div>\n\t            <div class=\"desc\">The Climate Change Committee (CCC) <\/div>\n\t        <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"single-content\">\n                <div class=\"subtitle\">Dates<\/div>\n                <div class=\"desc\"><p>February &#8211; September 2023\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"single-content\">\n                <div class=\"subtitle\">Missions<\/div>\n                <div class=\"desc\">Delivery role<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"single-content\">\n                <div class=\"subtitle\">Localisation<\/div>\n                <div class=\"desc\">United Kingdom<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"single-content\">\n                <div class=\"subtitle\">Partners<\/div>\n                <div class=\"desc\">N\/A<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"single-content\">\n                <div class=\"subtitle\">Perimeter<\/div>\n                <div class=\"desc\">Data Modelling, Data Science &amp; Visualisation, Electric Vehicles &amp; Energy Transition<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"single-content\">\n                <div class=\"subtitle\">Activity<\/div>\n                <div class=\"desc\">Sustainable transport, EV Charging Infrastructure<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n           \n            \n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<div style=\"height:49px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-creating-an-ev-charging-infrastructure-to-meet-net-zero-emissions-targets-nbsp-nbsp\">Creating an EV charging infrastructure to meet net zero emissions targets&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-noir-color has-text-color has-medium-font-size\">The UK is legally bound by the Climate Change Act to achieve net zero emissions by 2050. The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is tasked with advising the government on setting and meeting carbon budgets, preparing for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/services\/environmental-services\/climate-change-adaptation\/\">climate change<\/a>, and monitoring progress in reducing emissions.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The transport sector is a key target area, since transport-related emissions must be cut to almost zero if the UK is to achieve its net zero target by 2050. As a result, ultra-low emission vehicles (ULEVs) will play a key role in delivering emission reductions \u2013 meaning the UK\u2019s charging infrastructure will need to be sufficient to support the required uptake in electric vehicles.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The CCC commissioned our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/services\/data-modelling\/\">Data Science <\/a> specialists at SYSTRA to carry out a study to determine the requirements for the UK\u2019s future EV charging infrastructure. Specifically, SYSTRA was asked to focus on:&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>How peak traffic flow on the Strategic Road Network (SRN) matches that of peak EV charging demand.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The anticipated infrastructure for en-route charging required to meet demand through to 2050.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:0px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:48px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-mapping-peak-traffic-flows-against-ev-charging-demand-nbsp-nbsp-nbsp\">Mapping peak traffic flows against EV charging demand&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>SYSTRA conducted in-depth analysis of the relationship between peak charging demand and peak traffic flows on the road network. We selected 29 routes across Great Britain and obtained traffic counts (from National Highways and Traffic Scotland) alongside Zapmap charging data.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We then used the CCC\u2019s En Route Charging Optimisation tool (ERCO) to model and determine the optimal charging network to meet a number of different demand scenarios. In our report we provided the CCC with novel ways to present results using interactive elements to make the insights clearer and more engaging.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1366\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45347\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra.png 1366w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-286x160.png 286w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-474x266.png 474w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-1352x760.png 1352w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-800x450.png 800w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-180x101.png 180w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-153x86.png 153w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/ecro-results-dashboard-systra-230x129.png 230w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1366px) 100vw, 1366px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons has-custom-font-size has-medium-font-size is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-offer-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-medium-font-size has-custom-font-size wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theccc.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/ERCO-Results-Dashboard.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ERCO Results Dashboard<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The busiest days for traffic flows were found to be Fridays, with most routes sharing similar peak days. Charging demand did not have the same profile and was spread more evenly throughout the week, although still with a general concentration around the weekend. Our analysis therefore found no noticeable correlation between peak demand and peak traffic days. The days when en-route charging is at a peak may be those days when people are taking longer journeys, and these are not necessarily the days when traffic flows are highest.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The key findings of the research were:&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>There are substantial peaks in both traffic flows and charging demand above typical levels, which need to be taken into account when planning the provision of charging infrastructure.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The peaks of both traffic flows and charging demand are focused around weekends, but charging demand peaks do not always correspond with traffic flow peaks. Peak dates are also different between different routes.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The optimal charging network designed to cater for typical levels of demand will not be sufficient to meet demand peaks. To maintain acceptable wait times and enable drivers to charge reliably on peak days, the EV charging network will need to be 12-18% larger by 2035 than if it were planned purely to meet typical demand.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"450\" height=\"637\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2025\/06\/map_avg_daily_charge_events_per_charger_typical_day_2035.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-42030\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2025\/06\/map_avg_daily_charge_events_per_charger_typical_day_2035.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2025\/06\/map_avg_daily_charge_events_per_charger_typical_day_2035-212x300.jpg 212w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2025\/06\/map_avg_daily_charge_events_per_charger_typical_day_2035-200x282.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2025\/06\/map_avg_daily_charge_events_per_charger_typical_day_2035-180x255.jpg 180w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2025\/06\/map_avg_daily_charge_events_per_charger_typical_day_2035-153x217.jpg 153w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2025\/06\/map_avg_daily_charge_events_per_charger_typical_day_2035-230x326.jpg 230w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Average Charge Events per Charger by Model Zone for Do Nothing, Typical Day Demand, 2035 <em>(Peak EV Charging<br>Demand on the Strategic Road Network &#8211; Climate Change Committee)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-smart-modelling-tools-and-latest-data-combine-to-provide-vital-insights-nbsp-nbsp\">Smart modelling tools and latest data combine to provide vital insights&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>SYSTRA used the ERCO tool to carry out scenario tests on:&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Typical demand through to 2035.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>How the typical network copes with anticipated peak demand.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The infrastructure updates required and associated costs to meet demand.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Traffic flow and charger information was used to update the ERCO tool, so that we could assess the en-route charging infrastructure needs from a base year of 2022 through to 2050. We tested a number of scenarios, including Do Nothing, Carbon Optimisation, Developer Optimisation and Driver Optimisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45343\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-286x160.png 286w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-474x266.png 474w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-1352x760.png 1352w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-800x450.png 800w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-180x101.png 180w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-153x86.png 153w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1-230x129.png 230w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/trafffic-flows-and-ev-charging-demand-dashboard-systra-1.png 1366w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-offer-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-medium-font-size has-text-align-center has-custom-font-size wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theccc.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Traffic-Flows-and-Charging-Demand-by-Route.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Traffic Flows and Charging Demand by Route<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Carbon Optimisation was the core scenario used within this analysis, as it considers the requirements of the charging network if we are to reduce \u2018lost\u2019 demand and keep waiting times to an acceptable level. The outputs were analysed to consider the number of additional chargers and the capital costs required, as well as the geographical areas where most intervention was required.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Modelling results and charging data were presented in interactive dashboard visuals that accompanied the report and allowed readers to select scenarios and locations without the need for extensive static outputs in appendices. These outputs added value through the efficient presentation of large datasets yet in a lightweight HTML format that engaged the audience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-report-highlights-ev-charging-strategy-to-support-net-zero-nbsp-nbsp\">Report highlights EV charging strategy to support net zero&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The study results showed that additional chargers need to be planned to cater for peak demand, otherwise the waiting times for drivers will exceed the acceptable 12-minute limit by 2035. Without these additional chargers, a fifth of demand could be lost on peak days by 2040. The areas where pressures on the network appear the greatest, and where the majority of additional chargers would be needed, were the Midlands and Yorkshire.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our report produced drew three main conclusions on the actions required:&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Government and the charging industry must actively monitor provision of and plans for charging infrastructure, as the fleet composition changes, to ensure that it will meet drivers\u2019 needs.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Network planning must take account of peak demand, not just typical demand. This could be achieved through either additional permanent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/markets\/cities-urban-mobility\/ev-charging-infrastructure\/\">EV charging infrastructure <\/a>or more flexible mobile solutions.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Government support or regulation may be needed to ensure that this occurs, as investment from the private sector is expected to focus on installing chargepoints in locations where there is high utilisation all year round.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text is-stacked-on-mobile is-image-fill-element is-style-offer-with-rail has-blanc-color has-blanc-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-elements-3d7552ed215ca89498dfa8bcf1ff9c25\"><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/peak-ev-report.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45355 size-full\" style=\"object-position:50% 50%\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/peak-ev-report.png 600w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/peak-ev-report-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/peak-ev-report-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/peak-ev-report-376x376.png 376w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/peak-ev-report-474x474.png 474w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/peak-ev-report-180x180.png 180w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/peak-ev-report-153x153.png 153w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/peak-ev-report-230x230.png 230w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/figure><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Visit the Climate Change Committee website to download the report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-offer-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-blanc-color has-blanc-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color has-medium-font-size has-custom-font-size wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theccc.org.uk\/publication\/peak-ev-charging-demand-on-the-strategic-road-network-systra\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">read the report<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:80px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-medium-font-size\">We\u2019d love to help with your next project<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-blanc-color has-dirty-purple-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/uk\/contact\/business\/\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Connect with our Specialists<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:24px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group who-pattern-content-feed\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained 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