{"id":8960,"date":"2023-06-22T16:38:10","date_gmt":"2023-06-22T14:38:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/?post_type=services&#038;p=8960"},"modified":"2023-09-22T17:18:44","modified_gmt":"2023-09-22T16:18:44","slug":"transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting","status":"publish","type":"services","link":"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/services\/transport-advisory\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting\/","title":{"rendered":"Transport Demand and Revenue Forecasting"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-dusty-blue-color has-text-color has-medium-font-size\"><strong>SYSTRA is a global authority on transport demand and revenue forecasting, applying the latest research techniques and modelling technologies to help train operators and infrastructure managers develop rail services and networks to meet future demand.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-guiding-the-development-of-rail-services-and-infrastructure\">Guiding the development of rail services and infrastructure   <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Rail authorities, train operators and infrastructure managers need to develop train services and infrastructure in line with expected future demand. Forecasting transport demand and revenue is a complex undertaking, particularly in the uncertain environment following the Covid-19 pandemic. Travel patterns have changed and become more unpredictable, and commuting and business travel has reduced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Train services need to be optimised to improve efficiency, given constraints on public-sector finances. Rail infrastructure also needs to be adapted to become more climate resilient. To meet net-zero objectives and improve transport sustainability, local authorities are keen to encourage public transport usage, and the success of these efforts will influence future demand for rail services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>SYSTRA is a centre of excellence for passenger demand and revenue forecasting, as well as freight market assessments. We have helped both Irish Rail and the National Transport Authority to predict future demand and adapt services and business models to keep pace with changing transport usage patterns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:49px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile is-image-fill has-griplusclair-background-color has-background\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<div style=\"height:75px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-featured-projects\">our experience<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-noir-color has-text-color has-medium-font-size\">Discover how SYSTRA provides expert insight and advice to support decision making, policy development and strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-left is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-fdcfc74e wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-griplusclair-color has-light-eggplant-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/our-projects\/\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">VIEW CASE STUDIES<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:72px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\" style=\"background-image:url(https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-1024x645.jpg);background-position:50% 50%\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"645\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-1024x645.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5673 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-1024x645.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-300x189.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-768x484.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-474x299.jpg 474w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-800x504.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-180x113.jpg 180w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-153x96.jpg 153w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6-230x145.jpg 230w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/insights-6.jpg 1190w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:49px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-dusty-blue-color has-text-color has-medium-font-size\"><strong>SYSTRA helps the rail industry to develop commercial models and service plans to address the changing dynamics of transport usage and build a sustainable rail network for the future.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:46px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Centre of excellence for passenger demand research<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>SYSTRA is the leading authority in passenger demand research, regularly working in collaboration with universities and other academic institutions to model and predict future transport usage. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Rail authorities and operators can rely on our expertise to advise on the future development of rail services and investment in infrastructure to meet the needs of passengers today and into the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:39px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Informing long-term strategies for the rail industry<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Our insights help clients to develop plans and strategies for long-term service provision. Our revenue forecasts enable train operators to develop commercial models to support growth and future investment. They enable train operators to manage constrained finances and optimise their budgets, by focusing on key areas for investment and service improvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Understanding future demand patterns also helps clients to refine and simplify their fares and ticketing, to meet demand and encourage greater uptake of public transport.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text is-stacked-on-mobile is-image-fill has-griplusclair-background-color has-background\"><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\" style=\"background-image:url(https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-1024x645.jpg);background-position:50% 50%\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"645\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-1024x645.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-10230 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-1024x645.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-300x189.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-768x484.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-1536x968.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-2048x1291.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-474x299.jpg 474w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-1700x1071.jpg 1700w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-1352x852.jpg 1352w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-800x504.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-180x113.jpg 180w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-153x96.jpg 153w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/transport-demand-and-revenue-forecasting-call-out-230x145.jpg 230w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\">BUILDING SUSTAINABLE RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>For infrastructure owners and operators, our transport forecasts enable them to develop business cases for targeted infrastructure upgrades. We can help clients to ensure that infrastructure is developed in ways that are resilient to the impacts of climate change. Our expertise also helps the rail sector to decarbonise both traction and infrastructure, to help meet sustainability goals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:42px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Harnessing the latest tools and software<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Our transport demand and revenue forecasts are developed using a variety of robust and proven models and techniques. These include elasticity-based models, gravity models and mode choice models,. We use a variety of proprietary and SYSTRA-developed simulation and modelling software, including SATURN, LINSIG, PARAMICS, LEGION, CYCLOPS and NoRMS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-medium-font-size\">We&#8217;d love to help with your next project<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--2\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-blanc-color has-dirty-purple-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/contact\/business\/\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Connect with our specialists<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group has-blanc-background-color has-background\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-you-may-also-like\">you may also like<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:22px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group who-pattern-content-feed\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n    <div class=\"who-block-content-feed\">\n        \n\t\t<div class=\"tile tile--page \">\n\t\t<figure class=\"tile__thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"645\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/05\/media-enquiries-1024x645.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-post-image\" alt=\"Expert Insights\" \/>\n\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"tile__content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"tile__title\" style=\"color:#fff !important\">Expert&#039;s Insights<\/h3>\n\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"tile__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/experts_insights\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\tRead more\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> sur Expert&#039;s Insights<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/figcaption>\n\t\t<\/figure>\n\t<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n    <div class=\"who-block-content-feed\">\n        \n\t\t<div class=\"tile tile--page \">\n\t\t<figure class=\"tile__thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"645\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/06\/strategic-traffic-modelling-website-header-1024x645.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\n\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"tile__content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"tile__title\" style=\"color:#fff !important\">About Us<\/h3>\n\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"tile__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/who-we-are\/about-us\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\tRead more\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> sur About Us<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/figcaption>\n\t\t<\/figure>\n\t<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n    <div class=\"who-block-content-feed\">\n        \n\t\t<div class=\"tile tile--page \">\n\t\t<figure class=\"tile__thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"645\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2025\/10\/sustainability_header-1024x645.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\n\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"tile__content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"tile__title\" style=\"color:#fff !important\">Sustainability at SYSTRA<\/h3>\n\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"tile__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/who-we-are\/ambition-values\/sustainability\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\tRead more\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> sur Sustainability at SYSTRA<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/figcaption>\n\t\t<\/figure>\n\t<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:97px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button has-custom-width wp-block-button__width-100\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-dirty-purple-color has-griplusclair-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/register\/join-our-community\/\">Join our community<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:97px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text is-stacked-on-mobile is-image-fill has-dirty-purple-background-color has-background\"><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\" style=\"background-image:url(https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-1024x323.jpg);background-position:50% 50%\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"323\" src=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-1024x323.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-919 size-medium\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-1024x323.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-300x95.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-768x242.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-1536x484.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-2048x646.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-474x149.jpg 474w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-1700x536.jpg 1700w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-1352x426.jpg 1352w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-800x252.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-180x57.jpg 180w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-153x48.jpg 153w, https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/24\/2023\/03\/careers-230x73.jpg 230w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<div style=\"height:17px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-blanc-color has-text-color\">Interested in progressing your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/careers\/start-a-career-at-systra\/\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">career<\/span><\/a> at SYSTRA? Find out more about opportunities in our careers section.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button has-custom-width wp-block-button__width-50 is-style-outline is-style-outline--3\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-dirty-purple-color has-pale-mauve-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.systra.com\/ireland\/careers\/start-a-career-at-systra\/\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">SEARCH CAREERS<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:14px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:39px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SYSTRA is a global authority on transport demand and revenue forecasting, applying the latest research techniques and modelling technologies to help train operators and infrastructure managers develop rail services and networks to meet future demand. 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